COMPARE FIGHTERS
T
Thanongsak Simsri
39-1-0
Light Flyweight
VS
S
Sergio Mendoza
27-0-0
Flyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Thanongsak Simsri
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Simsri
Mendoza
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Thanongsak Simsri to defeat Sergio Mendoza with a 58% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: common opponents, ko power, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
Common Opponents
Simsri
1 shared opponents — Simsri 1W vs Mendoza 0W
KO Power
Simsri
Simsri (87% KO rate) vs Mendoza (7% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Mendoza
Simsri (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Mendoza (4 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Simsri
Simsri 40 fights vs Mendoza 27 fights; Win streaks: Simsri 1, Mendoza 0
Win Rate & Record
Mendoza
Simsri (98%) vs Mendoza (100%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Simsri | Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Quintana | Win TKO | Draw |