COMPARE FIGHTERS
Conor Benn
24-1-0
Welterweight
VS
Regis Prograis
30-3-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Regis Prograis
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Benn
Prograis
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Regis Prograis to defeat Conor Benn with a 58% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, ko power, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Prograis
Benn 0/0 title fights vs Prograis 4/5 title fights
KO Power
Prograis
Benn (58% KO rate) vs Prograis (80% KO rate)
P4P Rating
Prograis
Benn Rank #123 (0.721) vs Prograis Rank #31 (0.805)
Win Rate & Record
Benn
Benn (96%) vs Prograis (91%)
Activity & Recency
Benn
Benn (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Prograis (2 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Prograis
Benn 25 fights vs Prograis 33 fights; Win streaks: Benn 1, Prograis 1
Physical Attributes
Benn
Benn +3cm reach, Prograis southpaw edge, Benn age advantage (28)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Benn | Prograis |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.965 | 0.889 |
| Opposition | 0.649 | 0.786 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.570 |
| Activity | 0.860 | 0.770 |
| Composite | 0.721 | 0.805 |