COMPARE FIGHTERS
M
Moses Itauma
13-1-0
Heavyweight
VS
W
Willy Hutchinson
21-2-0
Light Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Moses Itauma
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Itauma
Hutchinson
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Moses Itauma to defeat Willy Hutchinson with a 53% probability (low confidence). Given Itauma's 85% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: physical attributes, ko power, and p4p rating. Itauma holds a 15cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.
🔑 Key Factors
Physical Attributes
Itauma
Itauma +13cm height, Itauma +15cm reach, Itauma southpaw edge, Hutchinson age advantage (27)
KO Power
Itauma
Itauma (85% KO rate) vs Hutchinson (67% KO rate)
P4P Rating
Itauma
Itauma Rank #193 (0.691) vs Hutchinson Rank #324 (0.649)
Experience & Durability
Hutchinson
Itauma 14 fights vs Hutchinson 23 fights; Stoppage losses: Itauma 0, Hutchinson 1
Activity & Recency
Hutchinson
Itauma (9 fights in 2 yrs) vs Hutchinson (8 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Itauma
Itauma (93%) vs Hutchinson (91%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Itauma | Hutchinson |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.963 | 0.909 |
| Opposition | 0.580 | 0.528 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.900 | 0.960 |
| Composite | 0.691 | 0.649 |
Head-to-Head Result
Willy Hutchinson vs Moses Itauma: NoContest