COMPARE FIGHTERS
Lamont Roach Jr.
25-1-3
Super Featherweight
vs
William Zepeda
39-15-4
Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Lamont Roach Jr.
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Roach Jr.
Zepeda
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Lamont Roach Jr. to defeat William Zepeda with a 58% probability (moderate confidence). Given Roach Jr.'s 40% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: p4p rating, win rate & record, and title fight pedigree.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Jr.
Roach Jr. Rank #366 (0.641) vs Zepeda Rank #1454 (0.343)
Win Rate & Record
Jr.
Roach Jr. (91%) vs Zepeda (71%)
KO Power
Zepeda
Roach Jr. (40% KO rate) vs Zepeda (69% KO rate)
Title Fight Pedigree
Jr.
Roach Jr. 1/3 title fights vs Zepeda 0/0 title fights
Physical Attributes
Zepeda
Zepeda +5cm height, Zepeda +4cm reach, Zepeda southpaw edge
Activity & Recency
Zepeda
Roach Jr. (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Zepeda (2 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Zepeda
Roach Jr. 29 fights vs Zepeda 58 fights; Stoppage losses: Roach Jr. 0, Zepeda 5
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Roach Jr. | Zepeda |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.842 | 0.276 |
| Opposition | 0.537 | 0.420 |
| Titles | 0.240 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.770 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.641 | 0.343 |