COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fabian Guzman
9-0-0
Super Welterweight
vs
Aaron Coley
16-5-1
Super Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Fabian Guzman
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Guzman
Coley
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Fabian Guzman to defeat Aaron Coley with a 68% probability (high confidence). Given Guzman's 78% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power, win rate & record, and activity & recency.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Guzman
Guzman (78% KO rate) vs Coley (0% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Guzman
Guzman (100%) vs Coley (75%)
Activity & Recency
Guzman
Guzman (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Coley (0 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Coley
Guzman Unranked vs Coley Rank #1190 (0.423)
Experience & Durability
Coley
Guzman 9 fights vs Coley 22 fights; Stoppage losses: Guzman 0, Coley 1
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.