COMPARE FIGHTERS
Giovani Santillan
34-1-0
Welterweight
vs
Abass Baraou
17-3-0
Super Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Abass Baraou
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Santillan
Baraou
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Abass Baraou to defeat Giovani Santillan with a 56% probability (moderate confidence). Given Baraou's 47% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: p4p rating, ko power, and activity & recency.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Baraou
Santillan Unranked vs Baraou Rank #330 (0.650)
KO Power
Baraou
Santillan (3% KO rate) vs Baraou (47% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Baraou
Santillan (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Baraou (3 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Santillan
Santillan (97%) vs Baraou (85%)
Experience & Durability
Santillan
Santillan 35 fights vs Baraou 20 fights; Win streaks: Santillan 1, Baraou 0; Stoppage losses: Santillan 1, Baraou 0
Title Fight Pedigree
Baraou
Santillan 0/0 title fights vs Baraou 0/1 title fights
Physical Attributes
Santillan
Baraou +4cm height, Santillan southpaw edge
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.