COMPARE FIGHTERS
Michael Zerafa
34-5-0
Middleweight
vs
Alejandro Ortiz
23-1-0
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Alejandro Ortiz
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Zerafa
Ortiz
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Alejandro Ortiz to defeat Michael Zerafa with a 58% probability (moderate confidence). Given Ortiz's 91% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Ortiz
Zerafa (9% KO rate) vs Ortiz (91% KO rate)
P4P Rating
Zerafa
Zerafa Rank #593 (0.590) vs Ortiz Unranked
Activity & Recency
Zerafa
Zerafa (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Ortiz (1 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Ortiz
Zerafa (87%) vs Ortiz (96%)
Experience & Durability
Zerafa
Zerafa 39 fights vs Ortiz 24 fights
Title Fight Pedigree
Zerafa
Zerafa 0/1 title fights vs Ortiz 0/0 title fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.