COMPARE FIGHTERS
Ryosuke Nishida
10-1-0
Bantamweight
vs
S
Sam Goodman
21-1-0
Super Bantamweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Sam Goodman
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Nishida
Goodman
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Sam Goodman to defeat Ryosuke Nishida with a 55% probability (moderate confidence). Given Goodman's 10% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: p4p rating, experience & durability, and title fight pedigree.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Goodman
Nishida Rank #468 (0.617) vs Goodman Rank #53 (0.777)
Experience & Durability
Goodman
Nishida 11 fights vs Goodman 22 fights; Win streaks: Nishida 0, Goodman 2
Physical Attributes
Nishida
Nishida +1cm height, Nishida +4cm reach, Nishida southpaw edge, Nishida age advantage (28)
Title Fight Pedigree
Goodman
Nishida 1/2 title fights vs Goodman 2/3 title fights
Win Rate & Record
Goodman
Nishida (91%) vs Goodman (95%)
Activity & Recency
Goodman
Nishida (5 fights in 2 yrs) vs Goodman (4 fights in 2 yrs)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Nishida | Goodman |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.805 | 0.929 |
| Opposition | 0.494 | 0.693 |
| Titles | 0.270 | 0.470 |
| Activity | 0.910 | 0.940 |
| Composite | 0.617 | 0.777 |