COMPARE FIGHTERS
Gerard Hughes
5-1-1
Super Bantamweight
vs
Alfie Middlemiss
6-0-0
Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Alfie Middlemiss
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Hughes
Middlemiss
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Alfie Middlemiss to defeat Gerard Hughes with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Middlemiss
Hughes (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Middlemiss (4 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Middlemiss
Hughes (79%) vs Middlemiss (100%)
Experience & Durability
Hughes
Hughes 7 fights vs Middlemiss 6 fights; Win streaks: Hughes 1, Middlemiss 0
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.