COMPARE FIGHTERS
Jaquan McElroy
4-0-0
Middleweight
vs
Alexander Thiel
5-1-0
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Jaquan McElroy
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
McElroy
Thiel
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Jaquan McElroy to defeat Alexander Thiel with a 62% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, win rate & record, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
McElroy
McElroy (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Thiel (0 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
McElroy
McElroy (100%) vs Thiel (83%)
KO Power
McElroy
McElroy (25% KO rate) vs Thiel (0% KO rate)
Experience & Durability
Thiel
McElroy 4 fights vs Thiel 6 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.