COMPARE FIGHTERS

Juan Carrillo

Juan Carrillo

15-1-0

Light Heavyweight

vs
Najee Lopez

Najee Lopez

15-1-0

Light Heavyweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Najee Lopez
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Carrillo Lopez
44%
56%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Najee Lopez to defeat Juan Carrillo with a 56% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: ko power, activity & recency, and common opponents.

🔑 Key Factors
💥 KO Power Lopez
Carrillo (20% KO rate) vs Lopez (60% KO rate)
📅 Activity & Recency Lopez
Carrillo (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Lopez (7 fights in 2 yrs)
🔗 Common Opponents Lopez
2 shared opponents — Carrillo 2W vs Lopez 2W
🥊 Experience & Durability Carrillo
Win streaks: Carrillo 6, Lopez 0; Stoppage losses: Carrillo 0, Lopez 1
🏆 P4P Rating Lopez
Carrillo Rank #307 (0.659) vs Lopez Rank #167 (0.703)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
ComponentCarrilloLopez
Win/Loss 0.921 0.961
Opposition 0.562 0.597
Titles 0.000 0.000
Activity 0.760 1.000
Composite 0.659 0.703

Common Opponents

OpponentCarrilloLopez
Lenin Castillo Win UD Win TKO
Khainell Wheeler Win UD Win KO