COMPARE FIGHTERS
Ross McGuigan
7-6-1
Light Heavyweight
vs
Brad Casey
4-0-0
Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Very High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Brad Casey
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
McGuigan
Casey
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Brad Casey to defeat Ross McGuigan with a 72% probability (very high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: win rate & record, ko power, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
Win Rate & Record
Casey
McGuigan (54%) vs Casey (100%)
KO Power
Casey
McGuigan (0% KO rate) vs Casey (50% KO rate)
P4P Rating
Casey
McGuigan Rank #1647 (0.270) vs Casey Rank #1365 (0.368)
Activity & Recency
Casey
McGuigan (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Casey (5 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Casey
McGuigan 14 fights vs Casey 4 fights; Win streaks: McGuigan 0, Casey 4; Stoppage losses: McGuigan 1, Casey 0
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | McGuigan | Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.276 | 0.350 |
| Opposition | 0.269 | 0.402 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.770 | 0.940 |
| Composite | 0.270 | 0.368 |