COMPARE FIGHTERS
E
Emmanuel Tagoe
34-2-0
Lightweight
vs
E
Ernesto Mercado
18-0-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Ernesto Mercado
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Tagoe
Mercado
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Ernesto Mercado to defeat Emmanuel Tagoe with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: p4p rating, activity & recency, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Mercado
Tagoe Unranked vs Mercado Rank #157 (0.706)
Activity & Recency
Mercado
Tagoe (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Mercado (3 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Tagoe
Tagoe 36 fights vs Mercado 18 fights; Win streaks: Tagoe 1, Mercado 0
KO Power
Mercado
Tagoe (0% KO rate) vs Mercado (17% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Mercado
Tagoe (94%) vs Mercado (100%)
Physical Attributes
Mercado
Mercado +5cm height
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.