COMPARE FIGHTERS
Teofimo Lopez
22-3-0
Super Lightweight
vs
Rolando Romero
17-2-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Teofimo Lopez
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Lopez
Romero
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Teofimo Lopez to defeat Rolando Romero with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). Given Lopez's 59% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: activity & recency, p4p rating, and title fight pedigree.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Lopez
Lopez (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Romero (2 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Lopez
Lopez Rank #19 (0.845) vs Romero Rank #302 (0.662)
Title Fight Pedigree
Lopez
Lopez 7/9 title fights vs Romero 1/2 title fights
KO Power
Lopez
Lopez (59% KO rate) vs Romero (41% KO rate)
Experience & Durability
Lopez
Lopez 25 fights vs Romero 19 fights; Win streaks: Lopez 0, Romero 2; Stoppage losses: Lopez 0, Romero 2
Win Rate & Record
Romero
Lopez (88%) vs Romero (89%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Lopez | Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.834 | 0.864 |
| Opposition | 0.851 | 0.610 |
| Titles | 0.850 | 0.170 |
| Activity | 0.860 | 0.500 |
| Composite | 0.845 | 0.662 |