COMPARE FIGHTERS

C

Carlos Utria

12-1-0

Super Lightweight

vs
Israel Mercado

Israel Mercado

12-1-2

Lightweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Carlos Utria
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Utria Mercado
57%
43%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Carlos Utria to defeat Israel Mercado with a 57% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, ko power, and win rate & record.

🔑 Key Factors
📅 Activity & Recency Utria
Utria (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Mercado (1 fights in 2 yrs)
💥 KO Power Utria
Utria (83% KO rate) vs Mercado (58% KO rate)
📊 Win Rate & Record Utria
Utria (92%) vs Mercado (87%)
👑 Title Fight Pedigree Utria
Utria 0/1 title fights vs Mercado 0/0 title fights
🥊 Experience & Durability Mercado
Utria 13 fights vs Mercado 15 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


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