COMPARE FIGHTERS
Troy Williamson
22-4-1
Super Welterweight
vs
Callum Simpson
18-1-0
Super Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Callum Simpson
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Williamson
Simpson
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Callum Simpson to defeat Troy Williamson with a 52% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: physical attributes, win rate & record, and p4p rating. Simpson holds a 6cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.
🔑 Key Factors
Head-to-Head History
Williamson
Williamson won their previous meeting by TKO
Physical Attributes
Simpson
Simpson +11cm height, Simpson +6cm reach
Win Rate & Record
Simpson
Williamson (83%) vs Simpson (95%)
P4P Rating
Simpson
Williamson Rank #734 (0.554) vs Simpson Rank #228 (0.681)
Experience & Durability
Williamson
Williamson 27 fights vs Simpson 19 fights; Stoppage losses: Williamson 0, Simpson 1
KO Power
Simpson
Williamson (59% KO rate) vs Simpson (67% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Williamson
Williamson (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Simpson (5 fights in 2 yrs)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Williamson | Simpson |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.728 | 0.964 |
| Opposition | 0.474 | 0.555 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 0.910 |
| Composite | 0.554 | 0.681 |
Head-to-Head Result
Callum Simpson vs Troy Williamson: Win by TKO