COMPARE FIGHTERS
Jon Martinez
16-11-5
Featherweight
vs
Louie Ward
2-0-0
Super Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Louie Ward
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Martinez
Ward
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Louie Ward to defeat Jon Martinez with a 60% probability (moderate confidence). Given Ward's 0% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Win Rate & Record
Ward
Martinez (58%) vs Ward (100%)
Experience & Durability
Martinez
Martinez 32 fights vs Ward 2 fights; Win streaks: Martinez 1, Ward 2; Stoppage losses: Martinez 2, Ward 0
Activity & Recency
Martinez
Martinez (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Ward (2 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
Martinez
Martinez (13% KO rate) vs Ward (0% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.