COMPARE FIGHTERS
Josh Holmes
17-2-0
Lightweight
vs
Joe Howarth
13-1-0
Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Joe Howarth
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Holmes
Howarth
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Joe Howarth to defeat Josh Holmes with a 50% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: ko power and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Holmes
Holmes Rank #588 (0.593) vs Howarth Unranked
KO Power
Howarth
Holmes (0% KO rate) vs Howarth (31% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Holmes
Holmes (5 fights in 2 yrs) vs Howarth (3 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Howarth
Holmes (89%) vs Howarth (93%)
Experience & Durability
Holmes
Holmes 19 fights vs Howarth 14 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.