COMPARE FIGHTERS
Lester Martinez
20-0-1
Super Middleweight
vs
Luka Plantic
12-0-0
Super Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Lester Martinez
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Martinez
Plantic
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Lester Martinez to defeat Luka Plantic with a 64% probability (high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: ko power, title fight pedigree, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Martinez
Martinez (80% KO rate) vs Plantic (25% KO rate)
Title Fight Pedigree
Martinez
Martinez 1/1 title fights vs Plantic 0/0 title fights
Experience & Durability
Martinez
Martinez 21 fights vs Plantic 12 fights; Win streaks: Martinez 6, Plantic 1
P4P Rating
Martinez
Martinez Rank #82 (0.745) vs Plantic Rank #246 (0.677)
Activity & Recency
Martinez
Martinez (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Plantic (2 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Plantic
Martinez (98%) vs Plantic (100%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Martinez | Plantic |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.982 | 1.000 |
| Opposition | 0.642 | 0.540 |
| Titles | 0.250 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.760 | 0.670 |
| Composite | 0.745 | 0.677 |