COMPARE FIGHTERS
Conor Benn
25-1-0
Welterweight
vs
Ryan Garcia
25-2-0
Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Ryan Garcia
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Benn
Garcia
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Ryan Garcia to defeat Conor Benn with a 57% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, ko power, and physical attributes. Garcia holds a 5cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Garcia
Benn 0/0 title fights vs Garcia 2/3 title fights
KO Power
Garcia
Benn (56% KO rate) vs Garcia (80% KO rate)
Physical Attributes
Garcia
Garcia +5cm height, Garcia +5cm reach, Benn age advantage (28)
P4P Rating
Garcia
Benn Rank #128 (0.718) vs Garcia Rank #47 (0.783)
Win Rate & Record
Benn
Benn (96%) vs Garcia (93%)
Experience & Durability
Garcia
Benn 26 fights vs Garcia 27 fights; Win streaks: Benn 0, Garcia 1; Stoppage losses: Benn 0, Garcia 1
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Benn | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.965 | 0.931 |
| Opposition | 0.632 | 0.704 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.470 |
| Activity | 0.940 | 0.940 |
| Composite | 0.718 | 0.783 |