COMPARE FIGHTERS
Jai Opetaia
30-0-0
Cruiserweight
vs
Noel Mikaelyan
28-3-0
Cruiserweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Jai Opetaia
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Opetaia
Mikaelyan
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Jai Opetaia to defeat Noel Mikaelyan with a 61% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: common opponents, title fight pedigree, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
Common Opponents
Opetaia
1 shared opponents — Opetaia 1W vs Mikaelyan 0W
Title Fight Pedigree
Opetaia
Opetaia 7/8 title fights vs Mikaelyan 1/4 title fights
P4P Rating
Opetaia
Opetaia Rank #6 (0.924) vs Mikaelyan Rank #197 (0.693)
Activity & Recency
Opetaia
Opetaia (5 fights in 2 yrs) vs Mikaelyan (2 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Opetaia
Opetaia (100%) vs Mikaelyan (90%)
Physical Attributes
Opetaia
Opetaia +2cm height, Opetaia +2cm reach, Opetaia southpaw edge, Opetaia age advantage (29)
Experience & Durability
Opetaia
Opetaia 30 fights vs Mikaelyan 31 fights; Win streaks: Opetaia 2, Mikaelyan 0
KO Power
Mikaelyan
Opetaia (40% KO rate) vs Mikaelyan (43% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Opetaia | Mikaelyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 1.000 | 0.845 |
| Opposition | 0.830 | 0.646 |
| Titles | 1.000 | 0.260 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 0.770 |
| Composite | 0.924 | 0.693 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Opetaia | Mikaelyan |
|---|---|---|
| Mairis Briedis | Win UD | Loss UD |