COMPARE FIGHTERS
Dave Allen
25-8-2
Heavyweight
vs
Thomas Carty
3-0-0
Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Thomas Carty
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Allen
Carty
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Thomas Carty to defeat Dave Allen with a 60% probability (moderate confidence). Given Carty's 100% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power, win rate & record, and common opponents.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Allen
Allen (8 fights in 2 yrs) vs Carty (0 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
Carty
Allen (36% KO rate) vs Carty (100% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Carty
Allen (74%) vs Carty (100%)
P4P Rating
Allen
Allen Rank #1171 (0.428) vs Carty Unranked
Common Opponents
Carty
1 shared opponents — Allen 1W vs Carty 1W
Experience & Durability
Allen
Allen 35 fights vs Carty 3 fights; Win streaks: Allen 1, Carty 3; Stoppage losses: Allen 4, Carty 0
Physical Attributes
Carty
Carty southpaw edge
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Allen | Carty |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Garber | Win UD | Win KO |