COMPARE FIGHTERS

Filip Hrgovic

Filip Hrgovic

22-2-0

Heavyweight

vs
M

Moses Itauma

14-1-0

Heavyweight

FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Moses Itauma
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Hrgovic Itauma
49%
51%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Moses Itauma to defeat Filip Hrgovic with a 51% probability (low confidence). Given Itauma's 79% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power and win rate & record.

🔑 Key Factors
📏 Physical Attributes Hrgovic
Hrgovic +8cm reach, Itauma southpaw edge, Hrgovic age advantage (33)
💥 KO Power Itauma
Hrgovic (68% KO rate) vs Itauma (79% KO rate)
📅 Activity & Recency Hrgovic
Hrgovic (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Itauma (8 fights in 2 yrs)
🏆 P4P Rating Hrgovic
Hrgovic Rank #92 (0.740) vs Itauma Rank #208 (0.690)
🥊 Experience & Durability Hrgovic
Hrgovic 24 fights vs Itauma 15 fights; Stoppage losses: Hrgovic 1, Itauma 0
📊 Win Rate & Record Itauma
Hrgovic (92%) vs Itauma (93%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
ComponentHrgovicItauma
Win/Loss 0.914 0.963
Opposition 0.721 0.578
Titles 0.000 0.000
Activity 1.000 0.900
Composite 0.740 0.690

Common Opponents

OpponentHrgovicItauma
Demsey McKean Win KO Win KO