COMPARE FIGHTERS
Filip Hrgovic
22-2-0
Heavyweight
vs
M
Moses Itauma
14-1-0
Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Moses Itauma
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Hrgovic
Itauma
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Moses Itauma to defeat Filip Hrgovic with a 51% probability (low confidence). Given Itauma's 79% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Physical Attributes
Hrgovic
Hrgovic +8cm reach, Itauma southpaw edge, Hrgovic age advantage (33)
KO Power
Itauma
Hrgovic (68% KO rate) vs Itauma (79% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Hrgovic
Hrgovic (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Itauma (8 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Hrgovic
Hrgovic Rank #92 (0.740) vs Itauma Rank #208 (0.690)
Experience & Durability
Hrgovic
Hrgovic 24 fights vs Itauma 15 fights; Stoppage losses: Hrgovic 1, Itauma 0
Win Rate & Record
Itauma
Hrgovic (92%) vs Itauma (93%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Hrgovic | Itauma |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.914 | 0.963 |
| Opposition | 0.721 | 0.578 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 0.900 |
| Composite | 0.740 | 0.690 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Hrgovic | Itauma |
|---|---|---|
| Demsey McKean | Win KO | Win KO |