COMPARE FIGHTERS
Andre Donovan
14-3-0
Welterweight
vs
Tyrone McKenna
25-6-1
Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Andre Donovan
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Donovan
McKenna
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Andre Donovan to defeat Tyrone McKenna with a 63% probability (high confidence). Given Donovan's 79% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power, activity & recency, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Donovan
Donovan (79% KO rate) vs McKenna (8% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Donovan
Donovan (5 fights in 2 yrs) vs McKenna (3 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Donovan
Donovan Rank #585 (0.591) vs McKenna Rank #1019 (0.471)
Physical Attributes
McKenna
McKenna +10cm height
Common Opponents
Donovan
2 shared opponents — Donovan 1W vs McKenna 1W
Experience & Durability
McKenna
Donovan 17 fights vs McKenna 32 fights; Stoppage losses: Donovan 0, McKenna 3
Title Fight Pedigree
Donovan
Donovan 0/2 title fights vs McKenna 0/0 title fights
Win Rate & Record
Donovan
Donovan (82%) vs McKenna (80%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Donovan | McKenna |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.792 | 0.579 |
| Opposition | 0.467 | 0.460 |
| Titles | 0.140 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 0.650 |
| Composite | 0.591 | 0.471 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Donovan | McKenna |
|---|---|---|
| Lewis Crocker | Loss DQ | Loss UD |
| Oscar Amador | Win TKO | Win UD |