COMPARE FIGHTERS
Andres Cortes
25-0-0
Super Featherweight
vs
Mark Magsayo
29-2-0
Super Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Mark Magsayo
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Cortes
Magsayo
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Mark Magsayo to defeat Andres Cortes with a 54% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, ko power, and physical attributes. Magsayo holds a 8cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Magsayo
Cortes 0/0 title fights vs Magsayo 2/3 title fights
KO Power
Magsayo
Cortes (48% KO rate) vs Magsayo (62% KO rate)
Physical Attributes
Magsayo
Cortes +2cm height, Magsayo +8cm reach, Magsayo age advantage (30)
Win Rate & Record
Cortes
Cortes (100%) vs Magsayo (94%)
Experience & Durability
Cortes
Cortes 25 fights vs Magsayo 31 fights; Win streaks: Cortes 5, Magsayo 1
P4P Rating
Magsayo
Cortes Rank #84 (0.743) vs Magsayo Rank #61 (0.767)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Cortes | Magsayo |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 1.000 | 0.930 |
| Opposition | 0.667 | 0.711 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.320 |
| Activity | 0.860 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.743 | 0.767 |