COMPARE FIGHTERS

Mauricio Lara

Mauricio Lara

29-3-2

Super Featherweight

vs
Carlos Ornelas

Carlos Ornelas

29-5-0

Super Featherweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Mauricio Lara
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Lara Ornelas
65%
35%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Mauricio Lara to defeat Carlos Ornelas with a 65% probability (high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: ko power, p4p rating, and title fight pedigree.

🔑 Key Factors
💥 KO Power Lara
Lara (69% KO rate) vs Ornelas (7% KO rate)
🏆 P4P Rating Lara
Lara Rank #273 (0.669) vs Ornelas Unranked
👑 Title Fight Pedigree Lara
Lara 1/2 title fights vs Ornelas 0/0 title fights
📅 Activity & Recency Ornelas
Lara (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Ornelas (2 fights in 2 yrs)
📊 Win Rate & Record Lara
Lara (88%) vs Ornelas (85%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores