COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Sunday, October 25, 2026
· Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas
Fighter A
Edward Vazquez
20-3-0
Featherweight
vs
Fighter B
Sergio Gonzalez
69-38-5
Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Edward Vazquez
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Vazquez
Gonzalez
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Edward Vazquez to defeat Sergio Gonzalez with a 61% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: p4p rating, win rate & record, and activity & recency. Gonzalez is only 23 and could be on the rise.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Vazquez
Vazquez Rank #384 (0.637) vs Gonzalez Rank #1727 (0.244)
Win Rate & Record
Vazquez
Vazquez (87%) vs Gonzalez (64%)
Experience & Durability
Gonzalez
Vazquez 23 fights vs Gonzalez 112 fights; Win streaks: Vazquez 1, Gonzalez 0; Stoppage losses: Vazquez 1, Gonzalez 4
Activity & Recency
Vazquez
Vazquez (6 fights in 2 yrs) vs Gonzalez (14 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
Gonzalez
Vazquez (15% KO rate) vs Gonzalez (23% KO rate)
Title Fight Pedigree
Vazquez
Vazquez 0/1 title fights vs Gonzalez 0/0 title fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Vazquez | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.773 | 0.000 |
| Opposition | 0.591 | 0.442 |
| Titles | 0.120 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 0.900 |
| Composite | 0.637 | 0.244 |