COMPARE FIGHTERS
Takuma Inoue
21-2-0
Bantamweight
vs
Tenshin Nasukawa
7-3-0
Super Bantamweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Takuma Inoue
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Inoue
Nasukawa
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Takuma Inoue to defeat Tenshin Nasukawa with a 66% probability (high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: p4p rating, title fight pedigree, and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Inoue
Inoue Rank #93 (0.740) vs Nasukawa Rank #1156 (0.433)
Title Fight Pedigree
Inoue
Inoue 4/6 title fights vs Nasukawa 0/2 title fights
Win Rate & Record
Inoue
Inoue (91%) vs Nasukawa (70%)
Head-to-Head History
Inoue
Inoue won their previous meeting by UD
Physical Attributes
Nasukawa
Nasukawa +1cm height, Nasukawa +13cm reach, Nasukawa southpaw edge, Inoue age advantage (28)
KO Power
Nasukawa
Inoue (5% KO rate) vs Nasukawa (29% KO rate)
Experience & Durability
Inoue
Inoue 23 fights vs Nasukawa 10 fights; Stoppage losses: Inoue 0, Nasukawa 1
Activity & Recency
Nasukawa
Inoue (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Nasukawa (6 fights in 2 yrs)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Inoue | Nasukawa |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.847 | 0.493 |
| Opposition | 0.633 | 0.381 |
| Titles | 0.690 | 0.140 |
| Activity | 0.940 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.740 | 0.433 |
Head-to-Head Result
Tenshin Nasukawa vs Takuma Inoue: Win by UD