COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Friday, November 20, 2026
· Utilita Arena, Cardiff, Wales
Fighter A
Lee McGregor
16-3-1
Featherweight
vs
Fighter B
Rhys Edwards
17-3-1
Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Rhys Edwards
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
McGregor
Edwards
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Rhys Edwards to defeat Lee McGregor with a 51% probability (low confidence). Given Edwards's 6% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: activity & recency, title fight pedigree, and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Edwards
McGregor (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Edwards (6 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
McGregor
McGregor (13% KO rate) vs Edwards (6% KO rate)
Title Fight Pedigree
Edwards
McGregor 0/0 title fights vs Edwards 0/1 title fights
Win Rate & Record
Edwards
McGregor (83%) vs Edwards (83%)
Experience & Durability
Edwards
McGregor 20 fights vs Edwards 21 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | McGregor | Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.699 | 0.702 |
| Opposition | 0.483 | 0.443 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.120 |
| Activity | 0.860 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.540 | 0.542 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | McGregor | Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Sashev | Win KO | Win KO |