COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, October 17, 2026
· O2 Arena, Greenwich, London
Fighter A
Leighton Birchall
5-0-0
Featherweight
vs
Fighter B
L
Luis Vara Carrillo
7-11-6
Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Very High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Leighton Birchall
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Birchall
Vara Carrillo
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Leighton Birchall to defeat Luis Vara Carrillo with a 72% probability (very high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: win rate & record, activity & recency, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
Win Rate & Record
Birchall
Birchall (100%) vs Vara Carrillo (42%)
Activity & Recency
Birchall
Birchall (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Vara Carrillo (0 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
Birchall
Birchall (20% KO rate) vs Vara Carrillo (0% KO rate)
Experience & Durability
Carrillo
Birchall 5 fights vs Vara Carrillo 24 fights; Win streaks: Birchall 1, Vara Carrillo 0
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.