COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Friday, November 6, 2026
· TikTok Entertainment Centre, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Fighter A
Jake Wyllie
19-2-1
Lightweight
vs
Fighter B
Ahmad Reda
9-0-0
Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Ahmad Reda
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Wyllie
Reda
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Ahmad Reda to defeat Jake Wyllie with a 52% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: common opponents, p4p rating, and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Common Opponents
Reda
1 shared opponents — Wyllie 0W vs Reda 1W
P4P Rating
Reda
Wyllie Unranked vs Reda Rank #537 (0.602)
KO Power
Wyllie
Wyllie (74% KO rate) vs Reda (33% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Reda
Wyllie (89%) vs Reda (100%)
Activity & Recency
Reda
Wyllie (4 fights in 2 yrs) vs Reda (5 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Wyllie
Wyllie 22 fights vs Reda 9 fights; Win streaks: Wyllie 0, Reda 3
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Wyllie | Reda |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Fleming | Draw | Win UD |