COMPARE FIGHTERS
Alycia Baumgardner
17-1-0
Super Featherweight
vs
Elif Nur Turhan
13-1-0
Super Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Alycia Baumgardner
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Baumgardner
Nur Turhan
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Alycia Baumgardner to defeat Elif Nur Turhan with a 52% probability (low confidence). Given Baumgardner's 41% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, p4p rating, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Baumgardner
Baumgardner 2/2 title fights vs Nur Turhan 2/3 title fights
Activity & Recency
Turhan
Baumgardner (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Nur Turhan (4 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Baumgardner
Baumgardner Rank #61 (0.769) vs Nur Turhan Rank #124 (0.721)
Experience & Durability
Baumgardner
Baumgardner 18 fights vs Nur Turhan 14 fights; Win streaks: Baumgardner 2, Nur Turhan 2; Stoppage losses: Baumgardner 0, Nur Turhan 1
KO Power
Turhan
Baumgardner (41% KO rate) vs Nur Turhan (46% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Baumgardner
Baumgardner (94%) vs Nur Turhan (93%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Baumgardner | Nur Turhan |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.949 | 0.938 |
| Opposition | 0.656 | 0.557 |
| Titles | 0.550 | 0.520 |
| Activity | 0.770 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.769 | 0.721 |