COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Sunday, November 8, 2026
· College Park Center, Arlington, Texas
Fighter A
Alycia Baumgardner
17-1-0
Lightweight
vs
Fighter B
Elif Nur Turhan
14-1-0
Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Alycia Baumgardner
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Baumgardner
Nur Turhan
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Alycia Baumgardner to defeat Elif Nur Turhan with a 51% probability (low confidence). Given Baumgardner's 41% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, experience & durability, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Turhan
Baumgardner (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Nur Turhan (4 fights in 2 yrs)
Title Fight Pedigree
Baumgardner
Baumgardner 2/2 title fights vs Nur Turhan 2/3 title fights
Experience & Durability
Baumgardner
Baumgardner 18 fights vs Nur Turhan 15 fights; Win streaks: Baumgardner 2, Nur Turhan 2; Stoppage losses: Baumgardner 0, Nur Turhan 1
P4P Rating
Baumgardner
Baumgardner Rank #68 (0.763) vs Nur Turhan Rank #80 (0.747)
Win Rate & Record
Baumgardner
Baumgardner (94%) vs Nur Turhan (93%)
KO Power
Turhan
Baumgardner (41% KO rate) vs Nur Turhan (43% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Baumgardner | Nur Turhan |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.949 | 0.939 |
| Opposition | 0.657 | 0.614 |
| Titles | 0.550 | 0.520 |
| Activity | 0.650 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.763 | 0.747 |