COMPARE FIGHTERS
Floyd Mayweather Jr
50-0-0
Welterweight
vs
Manny Pacquiao
62-8-3
Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Floyd Mayweather Jr
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Mayweather Jr
Pacquiao
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Floyd Mayweather Jr to defeat Manny Pacquiao with a 54% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: head-to-head history, win rate & record, and physical attributes. Mayweather Jr holds a 13cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range. However, at 47 years old, age could be a concern for Mayweather Jr.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Pacquiao
Mayweather Jr Unranked vs Pacquiao Rank #68 (0.761)
Head-to-Head History
Jr
Mayweather Jr won their previous meeting by UD
Win Rate & Record
Jr
Mayweather Jr (100%) vs Pacquiao (87%)
Physical Attributes
Jr
Mayweather Jr +7cm height, Mayweather Jr +13cm reach, Pacquiao southpaw edge
Title Fight Pedigree
Jr
Mayweather Jr 26/26 title fights vs Pacquiao 13/18 title fights
Common Opponents
Jr
5 shared opponents — Mayweather Jr 5W vs Pacquiao 4W
KO Power
Pacquiao
Mayweather Jr (58% KO rate) vs Pacquiao (63% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
Head-to-Head Result
Floyd Mayweather Jr vs Manny Pacquiao: Win by UD
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Mayweather Jr | Pacquiao |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Cotto | Win UD | Win KO |
| Shane Mosley | Win UD | Win UD |
| Juan Manuel Marquez | Win UD | Loss KO |
| Ricky Hatton | Win TKO | Win KO |
| Oscar De la Hoya | Win SD | Win KO |