COMPARE FIGHTERS

Fight Night Saturday, December 5, 2026 · Coliseo Ruben Rodriguez, Bayamon, Puerto Rico
Fighter A
O

Orlando Gonzalez

23-3-0

Super Featherweight

vs
Fighter B Joshua Pagan

Joshua Pagan

3-0-0

Super Middleweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Joshua Pagan
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Gonzalez Pagan
38%
62%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Joshua Pagan to defeat Orlando Gonzalez with a 62% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, ko power, and win rate & record.

🔑 Key Factors
📅 Activity & Recency Pagan
Gonzalez (0 fights in 2 yrs) vs Pagan (5 fights in 2 yrs)
💥 KO Power Pagan
Gonzalez (4% KO rate) vs Pagan (33% KO rate)
📊 Win Rate & Record Pagan
Gonzalez (88%) vs Pagan (100%)
🥊 Experience & Durability Gonzalez
Gonzalez 26 fights vs Pagan 3 fights; Win streaks: Gonzalez 1, Pagan 1
🏆 P4P Rating Pagan
Gonzalez Unranked vs Pagan Rank #1343 (0.398)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison

Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.

P4P Component Scores

Keep Exploring

Orlando Gonzalez's Profile Joshua Pagan's Profile Super Featherweight Rankings Super Middleweight Rankings Upcoming Fights & Predictions This Week's Movers P4P Rankings