COMPARE FIGHTERS
Mateo Tapia
18-0-1
Middleweight
vs
Leo Ruiz
16-1-0
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Leo Ruiz
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Tapia
Ruiz
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Leo Ruiz to defeat Mateo Tapia with a 56% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, p4p rating, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Ruiz
Tapia (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Ruiz (5 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Ruiz
Tapia Unranked vs Ruiz Rank #443 (0.624)
Win Rate & Record
Tapia
Tapia (97%) vs Ruiz (94%)
Experience & Durability
Tapia
Tapia 19 fights vs Ruiz 17 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.