COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, November 14, 2026
· The Venue, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Fighter A
Carlos Adames
25-1-1
Middleweight
vs
Fighter B
Gerome Warburton
18-2-2
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Carlos Adames
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Adames
Warburton
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Carlos Adames to defeat Gerome Warburton with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). Given Adames's 28% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: p4p rating, title fight pedigree, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Adames
Adames Rank #97 (0.739) vs Warburton Rank #721 (0.563)
Title Fight Pedigree
Adames
Adames 1/3 title fights vs Warburton 0/0 title fights
Activity & Recency
Warburton
Adames (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Warburton (5 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
Adames
Adames (28% KO rate) vs Warburton (11% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Adames
Adames (94%) vs Warburton (86%)
Experience & Durability
Adames
Adames 27 fights vs Warburton 22 fights; Win streaks: Adames 0, Warburton 1; Stoppage losses: Adames 0, Warburton 2
Physical Attributes
Warburton
Warburton southpaw edge
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Adames | Warburton |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.911 | 0.745 |
| Opposition | 0.692 | 0.476 |
| Titles | 0.240 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.770 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.739 | 0.563 |