COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Thursday, November 12, 2026
· Montreal Casino, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Fighter A
Steven Butler
38-6-1
Super Middleweight
vs
Fighter B
Erik Bazinyan
32-1-1
Super Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Steven Butler
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Butler
Bazinyan
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Steven Butler to defeat Erik Bazinyan with a 54% probability (low confidence). Given Butler's 50% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: activity & recency, ko power, and common opponents. Butler holds a 5cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Butler
Butler (7 fights in 2 yrs) vs Bazinyan (0 fights in 2 yrs)
KO Power
Butler
Butler (50% KO rate) vs Bazinyan (22% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Bazinyan
Butler (86%) vs Bazinyan (96%)
Common Opponents
Butler
1 shared opponents — Butler 1W vs Bazinyan 1W
P4P Rating
Bazinyan
Butler Rank #588 (0.591) vs Bazinyan Rank #266 (0.667)
Title Fight Pedigree
Butler
Butler 0/2 title fights vs Bazinyan 0/0 title fights
Physical Attributes
Butler
Bazinyan +3cm height, Butler +5cm reach
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Butler | Bazinyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.699 | 0.921 |
| Opposition | 0.578 | 0.640 |
| Titles | 0.040 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.960 | 0.220 |
| Composite | 0.591 | 0.667 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Butler | Bazinyan |
|---|---|---|
| Jose de Jesus Macias | Win KO | Win UD |