COMPARE FIGHTERS
Nathan Heaney
19-2-1
Middleweight
vs
Gerome Warburton
17-2-2
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Nathan Heaney
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Heaney
Warburton
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Nathan Heaney to defeat Gerome Warburton with a 54% probability (low confidence). Given Heaney's 16% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power, p4p rating, and activity & recency.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Heaney
Heaney (16% KO rate) vs Warburton (0% KO rate)
P4P Rating
Heaney
Heaney Rank #468 (0.617) vs Warburton Rank #800 (0.541)
Activity & Recency
Heaney
Heaney (6 fights in 2 yrs) vs Warburton (4 fights in 2 yrs)
Physical Attributes
Warburton
Warburton southpaw edge
Win Rate & Record
Heaney
Heaney (89%) vs Warburton (86%)
Experience & Durability
Heaney
Heaney 22 fights vs Warburton 21 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Heaney | Warburton |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.802 | 0.726 |
| Opposition | 0.548 | 0.452 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 0.940 |
| Composite | 0.617 | 0.541 |
Head-to-Head Result
Nathan Heaney vs Gerome Warburton: NoContest