COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, December 12, 2026
· Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast, Queensland
Title Fight
Fighter A
Erislandy Lara
32-3-3
Middleweight
vs
Fighter B
Tim Tszyu
28-3-0
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Tim Tszyu
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Lara
Tszyu
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Tim Tszyu to defeat Erislandy Lara with a 51% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, ko power, and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Tszyu
Lara (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Tszyu (7 fights in 2 yrs)
Title Fight Pedigree
Lara
Lara 12/14 title fights vs Tszyu 4/7 title fights
Experience & Durability
Lara
Lara 38 fights vs Tszyu 31 fights; Win streaks: Lara 7, Tszyu 3; Stoppage losses: Lara 0, Tszyu 1
Physical Attributes
Lara
Lara +1cm height, Lara +5cm reach, Lara southpaw edge, Tszyu age advantage (30)
KO Power
Tszyu
Lara (59% KO rate) vs Tszyu (64% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Tszyu
Lara (88%) vs Tszyu (90%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Lara | Tszyu |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.775 | 0.866 |
| Opposition | 0.866 | 0.795 |
| Titles | 0.900 | 0.640 |
| Activity | 0.650 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.822 | 0.818 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Lara | Tszyu |
|---|---|---|
| Terrell Gausha | Win UD | Win UD |