COMPARE FIGHTERS
Liam Smith
33-6-1
Middleweight
vs
Ilari Kujala
11-0-0
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Liam Smith
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Smith
Kujala
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Liam Smith to defeat Ilari Kujala with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: p4p rating, title fight pedigree, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Smith
Smith Rank #397 (0.635) vs Kujala Unranked
Title Fight Pedigree
Smith
Smith 3/5 title fights vs Kujala 0/0 title fights
KO Power
Smith
Smith (61% KO rate) vs Kujala (27% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Kujala
Smith (84%) vs Kujala (100%)
Experience & Durability
Smith
Smith 40 fights vs Kujala 11 fights; Stoppage losses: Smith 2, Kujala 0
Activity & Recency
Smith
Smith (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Kujala (0 fights in 2 yrs)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.