COMPARE FIGHTERS
Austin Williams
20-2-0
Middleweight
vs
Vito Mielnicki Jr.
22-1-1
Super Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Vito Mielnicki Jr.
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Williams
Mielnicki Jr.
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Vito Mielnicki Jr. to defeat Austin Williams with a 50% probability (low confidence). Given Mielnicki Jr.'s 59% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: win rate & record and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
Physical Attributes
Williams
Mielnicki Jr. +3cm height, Williams +20cm reach, Williams southpaw edge, Williams age advantage (29)
P4P Rating
Williams
Williams Rank #156 (0.706) vs Mielnicki Jr. Rank #264 (0.672)
Win Rate & Record
Jr.
Williams (91%) vs Mielnicki Jr. (94%)
Experience & Durability
Jr.
Williams 22 fights vs Mielnicki Jr. 24 fights; Stoppage losses: Williams 1, Mielnicki Jr. 0
Title Fight Pedigree
Williams
Williams 0/1 title fights vs Mielnicki Jr. 0/0 title fights
KO Power
Williams
Williams (60% KO rate) vs Mielnicki Jr. (59% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Williams | Mielnicki Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.898 | 0.933 |
| Opposition | 0.632 | 0.552 |
| Titles | 0.120 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.706 | 0.672 |
Head-to-Head Result
Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs Austin Williams: NoContest