COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, November 7, 2026
· Kiva Auditorium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Fighter A
Deon Nicholson
22-1-0
Light Heavyweight
vs
Fighter B
Atif Oberlton
17-0-0
Light Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Atif Oberlton
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Nicholson
Oberlton
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Atif Oberlton to defeat Deon Nicholson with a 55% probability (moderate confidence). Given Oberlton's 35% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: activity & recency, p4p rating, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Oberlton
Nicholson (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Oberlton (3 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Oberlton
Nicholson Rank #435 (0.626) vs Oberlton Rank #149 (0.707)
KO Power
Oberlton
Nicholson (27% KO rate) vs Oberlton (35% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Oberlton
Nicholson (96%) vs Oberlton (100%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Nicholson | Oberlton |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.948 | 1.000 |
| Opposition | 0.492 | 0.586 |
| Titles | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.500 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.626 | 0.707 |