COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, October 10, 2026
· N/A, Ekaterinburg, Russia
Fighter A
Zaur Abdullaev
21-2-0
Super Lightweight
vs
Fighter B
K
Khariton Agrba
18-1-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Zaur Abdullaev
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Abdullaev
Agrba
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Zaur Abdullaev to defeat Khariton Agrba with a 60% probability (moderate confidence). Given Abdullaev's 57% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, ko power, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Abdullaev
Abdullaev 1/1 title fights vs Agrba 0/0 title fights
KO Power
Abdullaev
Abdullaev (57% KO rate) vs Agrba (11% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Agrba
Abdullaev (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Agrba (4 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Abdullaev
Abdullaev Rank #81 (0.745) vs Agrba Rank #224 (0.681)
Experience & Durability
Abdullaev
Abdullaev 23 fights vs Agrba 19 fights; Win streaks: Abdullaev 1, Agrba 0
Win Rate & Record
Agrba
Abdullaev (91%) vs Agrba (95%)
Physical Attributes
Agrba
Agrba southpaw edge
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Abdullaev | Agrba |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.899 | 0.922 |
| Opposition | 0.729 | 0.597 |
| Titles | 0.250 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.650 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.745 | 0.681 |