COMPARE FIGHTERS
Z
Zaur Abdullaev
21-2-0
Lightweight
vs
K
Khariton Agrba
17-1-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Zaur Abdullaev
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Abdullaev
Agrba
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Zaur Abdullaev to defeat Khariton Agrba with a 61% probability (moderate confidence). Given Abdullaev's 57% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, ko power, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Abdullaev
Abdullaev 1/1 title fights vs Agrba 0/0 title fights
KO Power
Abdullaev
Abdullaev (57% KO rate) vs Agrba (12% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Agrba
Abdullaev (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Agrba (4 fights in 2 yrs)
P4P Rating
Abdullaev
Abdullaev Rank #93 (0.737) vs Agrba Rank #236 (0.679)
Experience & Durability
Abdullaev
Abdullaev 23 fights vs Agrba 18 fights; Win streaks: Abdullaev 1, Agrba 0
Win Rate & Record
Agrba
Abdullaev (91%) vs Agrba (94%)
Physical Attributes
Agrba
Agrba southpaw edge
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Abdullaev | Agrba |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.899 | 0.920 |
| Opposition | 0.702 | 0.596 |
| Titles | 0.250 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.730 | 0.860 |
| Composite | 0.737 | 0.679 |