COMPARE FIGHTERS
Mercito Gesta
34-4-3
Lightweight
vs
Jorge De Jesus
14-1-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Jorge De Jesus
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Gesta
De Jesus
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Jorge De Jesus to defeat Mercito Gesta with a 60% probability (moderate confidence). Given De Jesus's 64% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power, activity & recency, and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Jesus
Gesta (0% KO rate) vs De Jesus (64% KO rate)
Experience & Durability
Gesta
Gesta 41 fights vs De Jesus 15 fights; Stoppage losses: Gesta 1, De Jesus 0
Activity & Recency
Jesus
Gesta (0 fights in 2 yrs) vs De Jesus (1 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Jesus
Gesta (87%) vs De Jesus (93%)
Title Fight Pedigree
Gesta
Gesta 0/1 title fights vs De Jesus 0/0 title fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.