COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Friday, December 4, 2026
· Watsco Center, Miami, Florida
Fighter A
Alberto Machado
24-4-0
Super Lightweight
vs
Fighter B
Jose Zepeda
38-5-0
Super Lightweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Jose Zepeda
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Machado
Zepeda
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Jose Zepeda to defeat Alberto Machado with a 52% probability (low confidence). Given Zepeda's 5% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: experience & durability, p4p rating, and activity & recency.
🔑 Key Factors
Experience & Durability
Zepeda
Machado 28 fights vs Zepeda 43 fights; Win streaks: Machado 0, Zepeda 1; Stoppage losses: Machado 3, Zepeda 2
P4P Rating
Zepeda
Machado Rank #828 (0.538) vs Zepeda Rank #642 (0.584)
Physical Attributes
Machado
Machado +5cm height, Machado +4cm reach, Zepeda southpaw edge
Activity & Recency
Zepeda
Machado (0 fights in 2 yrs) vs Zepeda (0 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Zepeda
Machado (86%) vs Zepeda (88%)
KO Power
Machado
Machado (8% KO rate) vs Zepeda (5% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Machado | Zepeda |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.728 | 0.732 |
| Opposition | 0.524 | 0.613 |
| Titles | 0.040 | 0.040 |
| Activity | 0.140 | 0.220 |
| Composite | 0.538 | 0.584 |