COMPARE FIGHTERS

Christian Mbilli

Christian Mbilli

29-1-1

Super Middleweight

vs
Canelo Alvarez

Canelo Alvarez

63-3-2

Middleweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Canelo Alvarez
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Mbilli Alvarez
41%
59%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Canelo Alvarez to defeat Christian Mbilli with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, p4p rating, and activity & recency.

🔑 Key Factors
👑 Title Fight Pedigree Alvarez
Mbilli 0/1 title fights vs Alvarez 20/24 title fights
🏆 P4P Rating Alvarez
Mbilli Rank #134 (0.714) vs Alvarez Rank #9 (0.910)
📅 Activity & Recency Alvarez
Mbilli (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Alvarez (3 fights in 2 yrs)
🥊 Experience & Durability Alvarez
Mbilli 31 fights vs Alvarez 68 fights
📏 Physical Attributes Mbilli
Alvarez +1cm height, Mbilli +4cm reach, Mbilli age advantage (30)
📊 Win Rate & Record Mbilli
Mbilli (95%) vs Alvarez (94%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
ComponentMbilliAlvarez
Win/Loss 0.949 0.890
Opposition 0.652 0.938
Titles 0.120 0.950
Activity 0.580 0.730
Composite 0.714 0.910