COMPARE FIGHTERS
Daniel Dubois
23-3-0
Heavyweight
vs
Fabio Wardley
20-2-1
Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Daniel Dubois
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Dubois
Wardley
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Daniel Dubois to defeat Fabio Wardley with a 54% probability (low confidence). Given Dubois's 96% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: head-to-head history, p4p rating, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
Head-to-Head History
Dubois
Dubois won their previous meeting by TKO
P4P Rating
Dubois
Dubois Rank #79 (0.754) vs Wardley Rank #202 (0.692)
Activity & Recency
Wardley
Dubois (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Wardley (4 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Dubois
Dubois 26 fights vs Wardley 23 fights; Win streaks: Dubois 1, Wardley 0; Stoppage losses: Dubois 3, Wardley 2
Title Fight Pedigree
Dubois
Dubois 0/2 title fights vs Wardley 0/1 title fights
Physical Attributes
Wardley
Wardley age advantage (30)
Win Rate & Record
Wardley
Dubois (88%) vs Wardley (89%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Dubois | Wardley |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.876 | 0.887 |
| Opposition | 0.770 | 0.622 |
| Titles | 0.140 | 0.120 |
| Activity | 0.850 | 0.910 |
| Composite | 0.754 | 0.692 |
Head-to-Head Result
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois: Win by TKO
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Dubois | Wardley |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gorman | Win TKO | Win TKO |
| Richard Lartey | Win KO | Win KO |