COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Friday, December 11, 2026
· Principality Stadium, Cardiff, Wales
Title Fight
Fighter A
Tyson Fury
36-2-1
Heavyweight
vs
Fighter B
Anthony Joshua
31-4-0
Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Anthony Joshua
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Fury
Joshua
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Anthony Joshua to defeat Tyson Fury with a 51% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: ko power, common opponents, and title fight pedigree.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Joshua
Fury (67% KO rate) vs Joshua (87% KO rate)
Physical Attributes
Fury
Fury +8cm height, Fury +8cm reach, Joshua age advantage (35)
Common Opponents
Joshua
6 shared opponents — Fury 5W vs Joshua 5W
Win Rate & Record
Fury
Fury (94%) vs Joshua (89%)
Experience & Durability
Fury
Fury 39 fights vs Joshua 35 fights; Win streaks: Fury 2, Joshua 2; Stoppage losses: Fury 0, Joshua 2
Title Fight Pedigree
Joshua
Fury 4/5 title fights vs Joshua 7/9 title fights
P4P Rating
Fury
Fury Rank #24 (0.819) vs Joshua Rank #29 (0.807)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Fury | Joshua |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.916 | 0.841 |
| Opposition | 0.753 | 0.786 |
| Titles | 0.670 | 0.700 |
| Activity | 0.940 | 0.940 |
| Composite | 0.819 | 0.807 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Fury | Joshua |
|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Usyk | Loss UD | Loss UD |
| Francis NGannou | Win SD | Win KO |
| Dillian Whyte | Win KO | Win TKO |
| Otto Wallin | Win UD | Win TKO |
| Wladimir Klitschko | Win UD | Win TKO |
| Kevin Johnson | Win UD | Win KO |