COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, December 12, 2026
· Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast, Queensland
Fighter A
Brock Jarvis
23-2-0
Welterweight
vs
Fighter B
Jermell Charlo
35-2-1
Middleweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Jermell Charlo
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Jarvis
Charlo
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Jermell Charlo to defeat Brock Jarvis with a 57% probability (moderate confidence). Given Charlo's 54% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: p4p rating, title fight pedigree, and physical attributes. Charlo holds a 11cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Charlo
Jarvis Unranked vs Charlo Rank #64 (0.769)
Title Fight Pedigree
Charlo
Jarvis 0/0 title fights vs Charlo 6/7 title fights
KO Power
Jarvis
Jarvis (87% KO rate) vs Charlo (54% KO rate)
Activity & Recency
Jarvis
Jarvis (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Charlo (0 fights in 2 yrs)
Physical Attributes
Charlo
Charlo +5cm height, Charlo +11cm reach
Experience & Durability
Charlo
Jarvis 25 fights vs Charlo 38 fights; Stoppage losses: Jarvis 2, Charlo 0
Win Rate & Record
Charlo
Jarvis (92%) vs Charlo (93%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.