COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, December 19, 2026
· Chase Center, San Francisco, California
Title Fight
Fighter A
Devin Haney
33-0-1
Super Lightweight
vs
Fighter B
Liam Paro
28-1-0
Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Devin Haney
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Haney
Paro
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Devin Haney to defeat Liam Paro with a 52% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, p4p rating, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Paro
Haney (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Paro (7 fights in 2 yrs)
Title Fight Pedigree
Haney
Haney 7/8 title fights vs Paro 2/4 title fights
P4P Rating
Haney
Haney Rank #12 (0.870) vs Paro Rank #38 (0.803)
KO Power
Paro
Haney (45% KO rate) vs Paro (54% KO rate)
Experience & Durability
Haney
Haney 34 fights vs Paro 29 fights; Win streaks: Haney 2, Paro 1
Physical Attributes
Paro
Haney +1cm height, Paro southpaw edge, Paro age advantage (29)
Win Rate & Record
Haney
Haney (99%) vs Paro (97%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Haney | Paro |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.983 | 0.966 |
| Opposition | 0.788 | 0.717 |
| Titles | 0.900 | 0.440 |
| Activity | 0.650 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.870 | 0.803 |